Service Plays Wednesday 06/24/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[THECHICAGOCONNECTION]

ChicagoSportsConnection

WEDNESDAY June 24th FREEPLAY
DETROIT-130 vs Chicago(NL)....7:05 EDT

We here rumbles about Cub starter Rich Harden playing hurt....he got beat up pretty good in his last start vs the Indians.

Tigers have won in the last 3 Porcello starts.

So make sure to list the pitchers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2009

5* (963) NY Yankees at Braves: Have to back the powerful visiting offense here. A reliable start goes for NY, which is a key with this team, because the offense is loaded, ranked 2nd in the AL in runs, first in slugging an even 5th in steals. The slumping Atlanta offense has never faced hard throwing Joba Chamberlain before (3-2, 3.89 ERA). Atlanta won a series Monday in a make-up game with the Cubs, but take a closer look: The Braves have gone 1-5-3 in their last nine series. And this is a tough stretch, facing the Yankees, Boston Red Sox and defending champion Philadelphia Phillies over the next 9 days. This Atlanta offense has struggled all season, ranked 11th in the NL in runs and 9th in OBP. Have to back the talented and balanced visitors. Play the NY Yankees.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Boston at Washington
Despite a 20-48 record, the Nationals look to take advantage of a Boston team that is 0-4 in Jon Lester's last four starts against teams with a losing record. Washington is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Nats favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 24

Game 951-952: St. Louis at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Thompson) 14.525; NY Mets (Nieve) 15.816
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.494; Toronto (Richmond) 14.961
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.342; Tampa Bay (Garza) 14.755
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+160); Over

Game 957-958: Cleveland at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 15.928; Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.660
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-135); Over

Game 959-960: Boston at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.067; Washington (Stammen) 15.142
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Under

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 15.160; Detroit (Porcello) 16.610
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under

Game 963-964: NY Yankees at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 14.636; Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.599
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+135); Under

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 16.570; Florida (Nolasco) 15.631
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+135); Under

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.672; Milwaukee (Looper) 14.189
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.311; Houston (Oswalt) 14.045
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+165); Under

Game 971-972: LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 16.486; White Sox (Floyd) 15.054
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Under

Game 973-974: Texas at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 14.144; Arizona (Haren) 15.146
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Under

Game 975-976: Colorado at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Marquis) 16.994; LA Angels (Saunders) 15.747
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 977-978: San Francisco at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Johnson) 14.494; Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.654
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 979-980: San Diego at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Geer) 14.595; Seattle (Morrow) 15.955
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
31-14 run on Bonus Plays

WED: Seattle Mariners

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Twins and Dodgers Tuesday night.

Today it's the Twins. The surplus is 860 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

June 24, 2009

Chicago's lovable losers stuck it to Hondo last night -- just as they did Monday night -- getting dinged in Detroit to trim the earnings to 280 gilliams.

Tonight, he's woofing about Wolf -- 10 units on the Dodgers to hose the Chisox.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Chicago Cubs (34-33) at Detroit (39-31)

The first-place Tigers hand the ball to rising rookie right-hander Rick Porcello (8-4, 3.54 ERA) for the middle game of a three-game set at Comerica Park against the Cubs, who will counter with righty Rich Harden (4-3, 5.27).

In Tuesday night’s opener, Detroit got a two-run, walk-off home run from Ryan Rayburn, turning a 4-3 deficit into a 5-4 victory. The Tigers have won five in row and are on additional streaks of 6-0 at home, 50-21 in interleague contests and a solid 41-12 when hosting National League clubs..

Chicago has now lost seven straight games in American League parks and is just 4-12 in its last 16 road games overall, but the Cubs are 4-1 in their last five interleague contests – all against the A.L. Central.

In this occasional rivalry, Detroit has won five straight meetings overall and seven of nine since 2000, but the visitor is 7-2 in that same timeframe.

The Tigers have won three in a row and eight of their last nine backing Porcello, with the 20-year-old going 7-1 with a 2.42 ERA in that stretch, allowing 14 runs in 52 innings. Last Thursday, he yielded three runs (one earned) on eight hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-3 road win over St. Louis. Detroit is 4-1 in Porcello’s last five home starts, where the youngster is 3-2 with a 4.22 ERA. This will be his first career start against Chicago.

The Cubs are 1-2 in Harden’s last three starts, following a five-game win streak behind the 27-year-old. Harden had his worst outing of the season last Friday at Wrigley Field, getting roughed up for seven runs on seven hits and five walks against Cleveland, but Chicago rallied from a 7-0 hole to post an 8-7 win in 10 innings. Chicago is 6-2 in Harden’s last eight outings overall and 7-2 in his last nine against winning teams.

Harden is 2-0 with a solid 2.84 ERA in three road starts this year, and he’s 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA in five career starts against Detroit.

The Cubs carry “under” trends of 21-10 overall, 7-2 on the highway, 10-3 against winning teams and 14-7 versus right-handed starters. Similarly, the Tigers are on “under” runs of 11-5 at home and 19-8 versus right-handed starters. However, six of the last seven Cubs-Tigers clashes have topped the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT


Philadelphia (37-31) at Tampa Bay (37-35)

Last year’s World Series participants meet for Game 2 of a three-game series, with the Rays sending right-hander Matt Garza (4-5, 3.83 ERA) to the hill opposite the Phillies’ Joe Blanton (4-3, 5.28) at Tropicana Field.

Philadelphia picked up where it left off in the World Series on Tuesday, pounding Tampa Bay and young lefty David Price 10-1. The Phillies, who entered this series coming off a dismal 1-8 homestand, have baseball’s best road mark at 24-9, and they’re 38-16 in their last 54 roadies dating to last season. However, they’re still on a 10-19 nosedive in interleague road contests.

Despite last night’s defeat, Tampa Bay has won eight of its last 12 overall and is on further rolls of 79-33 at the Trop, 44-17 when hosting teams with a winning record, 4-1 in interleague home games and 5-2 against the N.L. East.

Philadelphia took out Tampa Bay in five games in last year’s Fall Classic, with the home team going 4-1. These squads have met 13 times since 2000, and the host has gone 9-4, with the Rays winning five of their last seven clashes at the Trop.

The Rays have lost four of five behind Garza, totaling just nine runs in those four setbacks. On Friday at Colorado, the right-hander allowed four runs on five hits (three homers) and two walks in a 4-3 loss. The 25-year-old is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA in eight home starts this season, and in his lone career start against the Phillies, Garza got a no-decision in Game 3 of the World Series, allowing four runs on six hits (three homers) and two walks in six innings, with the Rays losing 5-4 in Philadelphia.

The Phillies have lost three in row with Blanton taking the ball, though he’s gotten no-decisions in all three contests. On Friday against Toronto, the beefy right-hander gave up four runs on nine hits (two homers) and two walks in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-7 home loss. In four starts prior to that, Blanton had allowed just six total earned runs over 27 innings (2.00 ERA).

Blanton is 3-1 with a 4.37 ERA in six road outings this year, and he’s 2-3 with a 6.05 ERA in eight career regular-season starts against Tampa Bay, all when he was with Oakland. Additionally, he got the win in a 10-2 home blowout of the Rays in Game 4 of the World Series. With Blanton throwing, the Phils are on runs of 14-6 overall, 9-3 against winning teams and 4-1 on the highway.

The under for Tampa Bay is on streaks of 4-2 overall (all in interleague play), 8-4-1 at home, 24-10-1 in interleague home games, 5-0 behind Garza and 5-0-1 in Garza’s last six interleague starts. Likewise, Philadelphia is riding “under” streaks of 17-9-1 in interleague play, 6-1 in A.L. ballparks and 5-2-1 on artificial turf.

Finally, despite last night’s slugfest, the under is 4-2-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings in Tampa Bay, including 2-0 in last year’s Fall Classic.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Info Plays

InfoPlays Wednesday, June 24th Bonus Play:


San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners:

Seattle Mariners -140


Reasons why the Mariners win:

1.) Coming off a rare home loss to the Padres last night, Seattle will be hungry to get back into the win column Wednesday. They should have no problem getting the job done against Josh Geer who is 0-2 with a 6.99 ERA on the road this season through 5 starts, and 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Padres are 0-5 in Geer?s 5 road starts this season and that streak won?t end Wednesday.

2.) System Play. We?ll Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. This is a 46-12 ML System hitting 79.3% over the last 5 seasons.

Bet the Mariners at home.

3* on Seattle Mariners -140
(Listing Morrow and Geer)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Tex/ Ariz Under
Brewers
Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Yankees
W. Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Boston Red Sox -170
Philadelphia Phillies +160
Seattle Mariners -135

 

[Yanks]

John Morrison

37-41 Since 5/27

Yesterday 0-3

Wednesday:

NYM -115

NYY -140

FLA -145

 

[jnc750]

Scott Delaney
10D Marlins

 

[whitelightning]

erin rynning
whitesox/playmaker.

 

[backdoorcover1]

Ferringo WEDNESDAY

#963 N.Y. Yankees (-130) over Atlanta (7 p.m.)
#980 Seattle (-135) over San Diego (10 p.m.)
#959 Boston (-175) over Washington (7 p.m.)
#970 Houston (-170) over Kansas City (8 p.m.)

Today's Totals
Under 9.0 Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (7 p.m.)
Under 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Detroit (7 p.m.)
Under 8.0 Texas at Arizona (9:40 p.m.)
Under 9.0 Boston at Washington (7 p.m.)

 

[boomshakalaka]

Maddux confirmed picks

#954 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto -139
#958 - MLB - 3 units on Pittsburgh -126
#960 - MLB - 3 units on Washington +162
#962 - MLB - 3 units on Detroit -122
#964 - MLB - 3 units on Atlanta +128
#972 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

IndianCowboy comp

Take Under 8.5 between the Chicago Cubs @ Detroit Tigers

The Cubs and Tigers faced off yesterday and the Tigers continue their winning ways now having won 5 straight. They are now 39-31 after sweeping the Brewers at home and now defeating the Cubs in game 1 of their series. Porcello has been a huge addition to their pitching staff as he has maintained a 3.5 era roughly throughout the year and is 8-4 to boot. He is 7-1-1 over his last 9 starst and has given up just 2 runs in just under 13 innings. He has struggled at home a bit lately but I expect him to have a sound start today as he is paired with Harden who comes off one of his worst starts of the year. Harden gave up 7 runs in in 5 innings against Cleveland but the Cubs still managed to win that game 8-7. Nevertheless, I think Harden likely steps up a bit today and aids his increased era in this start. The Under is 4-1 for the Tigers when the total is set at this mark and the Under is 5-0 in Fletcher's last 5 games behind the plate.

 

[whitelightning]

Teddy Covers

LA Angels -135 Big Ticket

Big Ticket plays 1-8 in June
Loser in 8 of the last 9 days

 

[whitelightning]

Indian Cowboy

KC / Houston Under 8.5 -125